Mt St Marys
W-L: ( 3- 8) PR = 85.1339Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A LIU NEC ( 9- 1, 89.7) 12-14 217 H Queens ASUN ( 4- 6, 85.1) 13-10 221 A Lafayette PATRIOT ( 5- 6, 90.4) 5-19 224 H UMBC AE ( 3- 6, 88.7) 4- 7 228 A Monmouth CAA ( 5- 5, 89.6) 5-14 307 A Marist MAAC ( 6- 4, 89.3) 9-16 314 H Sacred Heart MAAC (10- 1, 90.8) 9-17 321 H Merrimack MAAC ( 4- 8, 86.8) 8- 9 325 A Iona MAAC ( 2-12, 84.3) 14-15 328 H Manhattan MAAC ( 2- 9, 84.4) 10- 9 404 A Canisius MAAC ( 3- 8, 84.8) 12-10 411 A Quinnipiac MAAC ( 3- 8, 86.0) 418 H Siena MAAC ( 9- 2, 90.9)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A LIU 12-14 -2 -6 ++ 4.08
217 H Queens 13-10 3 2 1.43
221 A Lafayette 5-19 -14 -7 -0.19
224 H UMBC 4- 7 -3 -2 -0.93
228 A Monmouth 5-14 -9 -6 -0.94
307 A Marist 9-16 -7 -6 -1.33
314 H Sacred Heart 9-17 -8 -4 - -2.87
321 H Merrimack 8- 9 -1 0 -0.89
325 A Iona 14-15 -1 -1 -0.32
328 H Manhattan 10- 9 1 2 -1.29
404 A Canisius 12-10 2 -1 + 3.24
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 314 H Sacred Heart 9-17 -8 -4 - -2.87 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 206 A LIU 12-14 -2 -6 ++ 4.08 404 A Canisius 12-10 2 -1 + 3.24 |
Mt St Marys Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force | Air Force | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Air Force | |
| Albany | Albany | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Albany | |
| Army | Army | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Army | |
| Bellarmine | Bellarmine | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bellarmine | |
| Binghamton | Binghamton | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Binghamton | |
| Boston Univ | Boston Univ | Boston Univ | ||
| Brown | Brown | Brown | ||
| Bryant | Bryant | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Bryant | |
| Bucknell | Bucknell | Bucknell 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Canisius | Mt St Marys | Mt St Marys | ||
| Cleveland State | Cleveland State | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Cleveland State | |
| Colgate | Colgate | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Colgate | |
| Cornell | Cornell | Cornell | ||
| Dartmouth | Dartmouth | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Dartmouth | |
| Delaware | Delaware | Delaware | ||
| Denver | Denver | Denver | ||
| Detroit Mercy | Detroit Mercy | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Detroit Mercy | |
| Drexel | Drexel | Drexel 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Duke | Duke | Duke | ||
| Fairfield | Fairfield | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Fairfield | |
| Georgetown | Georgetown | Georgetown | ||
| Hampton | Mt St Marys | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Mt St Marys | |
| Harvard | Harvard | Harvard | ||
| High Point | High Point | High Point | ||
| Hobart | Hobart | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Hobart | |
| Hofstra | Hofstra | Hofstra 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Holy Cross | Holy Cross | Holy Cross 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Iona | Iona | Iona | ||
| Jacksonville | Jacksonville | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Jacksonville | |
| Johns Hopkins | Johns Hopkins | Johns Hopkins | ||
| Lafayette | Lafayette | Lafayette | ||
| Le Moyne | Mt St Marys | Mt St Marys 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Lehigh | Lehigh | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Lehigh | |
| LIU | LIU | LIU | ||
| Loyola | Loyola | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Loyola | |
| Manhattan | Mt St Marys | Mt St Marys | ||
| Marist | Marist | Marist | ||
| Marquette | Marquette | Marquette | ||
| Maryland | Maryland | Maryland | ||
| Massachusetts | Massachusetts | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Massachusetts | |
| UMassLowell | Mt St Marys | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Mt St Marys | |
| Mercer | Mercer | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Mercer | |
| Mercyhurst | Mt St Marys | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Mt St Marys | |
| Merrimack | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Michigan | Michigan | Michigan | ||
| Monmouth | Monmouth | Monmouth | ||
| Navy | Navy | Navy 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| NJIT | NJIT | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | NJIT | |
| North Carolina | North Carolina | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | North Carolina | |
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | Notre Dame | ||
| Ohio State | Ohio State | Ohio State | ||
| Pennsylvania | Pennsylvania | Pennsylvania | ||
| Penn State | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Princeton | Princeton | Princeton | ||
| Providence | Providence | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Providence | |
| Queens | Mt St Marys | Mt St Marys | ||
| Quinnipiac | Quinnipiac | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) | Quinnipiac | |
| Richmond | Richmond | Richmond | ||
| Robert Morris | Robert Morris | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Robert Morris | |
| Rutgers | Rutgers | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Rutgers | |
| Sacred Heart | Sacred Heart | Sacred Heart | ||
| Siena | Siena | Siena 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| St Bonnies | St Bonnies | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | St Bonnies | |
| St Johns | St Johns | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | St Johns | |
| St Josephs | St Josephs | St Josephs | ||
| Stony Brook | Stony Brook | Stony Brook 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Syracuse | Syracuse | Syracuse | ||
| Towson | Towson | Towson 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| UMBC | UMBC | UMBC | ||
| Utah | Utah | Utah 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Vermont | Vermont | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Vermont | |
| Villanova | Villanova | Villanova | ||
| Virginia | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| VMI | Mt St Marys | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Mt St Marys | |
| Wagner | Mt St Marys | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) | Mt St Marys | |
| Yale | Yale | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Yale |
PowerWise = 9
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 10.36
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A LIU ( 9- 1, 89.7) 12-14 -10.23 11.06 1.55 0.94 -4.09
0 H Queens ( 4- 6, 85.1) 13-10 -14.79 6.51 -1.55 0.94 9.34
0 A Lafayette ( 5- 6, 90.4) 5-19 -9.50 11.79 1.55 0.94 -3.75
0 H UMBC ( 3- 6, 88.7) 4- 7 -11.15 10.14 -1.55 0.94 -5.98
0 A Monmouth ( 5- 5, 89.6) 5-14 -10.26 11.04 1.55 0.94 -4.10
0 A Marist ( 6- 4, 89.3) 9-16 -10.64 10.66 1.55 0.94 -4.28
0 H Sacred Heart (10- 1, 90.8) 9-17 -9.08 12.21 -1.55 0.94 -5.01
0 H Merrimack ( 4- 8, 86.8) 8- 9 -13.11 8.19 -1.55 0.94 -6.90
0 A Iona ( 2-12, 84.3) 14-15 -15.63 5.67 1.55 0.94 -6.63
0 H Manhattan ( 2- 9, 84.4) 10- 9 -15.51 5.79 -1.55 0.94 7.99
0 A Canisius ( 3- 8, 84.8) 12-10 -15.07 6.23 1.55 0.94 14.65
------
-8.76
|
winning pts = 31.9899 losing points = -40.7541
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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